Dodge Momentum Index Falters in February

Glass Magazine
March 11, 2019

The Dodge Momentum Index lost 4.4 percent in February, falling to 146.9 (2000=100) from the revised January reading of 153.6. The Momentum Index, issued by Dodge Data & Analytics, is a monthly measure of the first, or initial, report for nonresidential building projects in planning, which have been shown to lead construction spending for nonresidential buildings by a full year. The commercial component followed the overall trend, falling 3.4 percent in February.

Since November, the Momentum Index has re-established a sawtooth pattern that’s often been present in recent years, say Dodge Data analysts. It’s also become clear that the average level of activity has downshifted slightly since the summer of 2018, they say. From April through August last year, the average level of the Momentum Index was 158.6, while from September through the latest month the average is 150.3 – a decline of 5.2 percent. This shift continues to suggest that the growth in construction activity will moderate over the coming year.